
SF Bay Trail RAAPP
SF Bay Trail Risk Assessment and Adaptation Prioritization Plan (RAAPP)

Introduction

The East Bay Regional Park District (Park District) has developed the San Francisco Bay Trail Risk Assessment and Adaptation Prioritization Plan (SF Bay Trail RAAPP) to understand the future changes anticipated along the East Bay shoreline. This study evaluates the vulnerabilities facing the East Bay’s shoreline and assists the Park District in prioritizing nature-based adaptation projects to provide multiple benefits for the region. At a high level, the study is focused on balancing goals related to advancing ecological restoration, recreation, critical mobility, and building important interpretive educational opportunities. The study also focuses on several prototype sites to demonstrate how the latest techniques related to coarse beach and marsh adaptation, for example, can be implemented over time to provide shoreline access as sea levels rise. By working with a wide range of experts, from research partners to local community stakeholders, the team has developed an integrated approach to adaptation planning and design that will benefit the community and the broader region.
Project Team
The Park District is working with an interdisciplinary team led by WRT, including ESA, Arup, SFEI, and OnClimate.
Approach + Goals
Project Approach

The SF Bay Trail RAAPP project approach is structured around a process that explores the existing conditions and predicted impacts of climate change and sea-level rise across multiple scales. First, by looking across the full East Bay shoreline along both Alameda and Contra Costa counties, identifying the top at-risk zones and developing a Risk Assessment; and then by zooming in to several prototype sites to illustrate potential adaptation strategies and approaches that could be applied in multiple locations across the region. At each scale, and through the process, the analysis and design is guided by the Park District goals, listed below, and informed by ongoing conversations with key partners and stakeholders.
Image credits - Cali Godley
Park District Project Goals and Priorities
- Resilience to Coastal Hazards
- Restoration Potential
- Minimize Recurring Maintenance
- Adjacency to Critical Infrastructure
- Serving Disadvantaged Communities
- Access to Nature/User Experience
- Funding and Partnership Potential
- Alignment with Park District Master Plan Goals and Priorities
- Representation of a diversity of coastal conditions and geographies
Analysis + Risk Assessment
Shoreline Analysis
The following series is a collection of regional site analysis which was used to inform the Risk Assessment. Included below you will find maps that provide an overview of coastal hazards, restoration potential, disadvantaged communities, critical infrastructure, and Park District ownership.
Tidal Inundation with Groundwater 0 Feet
Tidal Inundation with Groundwater 3 Feet
Tidal Inundation with Groundwater 6 Feet
Storm Inundation - 0 Feet
Storm Inundation - 3 Feet
Storm Inundation - 6 Feet
Wind Wave
Restoration Potential
Disadvantaged Communities
Critical Infrastructure
Park District Ownership
Risk Assessment & Top Eight At-risk Zones
The Risk Assessment led to the identification and evaluation of the following top eight at-risk zones along the shoreline. Based on the Park District goals and understanding of the anticipated hazards, restoration potential, vulnerabilities and consequences, the following eight sites identify areas where the Park District, in partnership with adjacent stakeholders, could make the biggest improvements to prepare for the future.
01 / 09
1
Top Eight At-Risk Zones
2
North Richmond
3
Miller Knox
4
Eastshore State Park
5
Alameda Point
6
Crown Beach
7
MLK Shoreline
8
Coyote Hills/Hayward
9
Spine Trail
Risk Assessment Summary
Outreach
The overall approach to stakeholder engagement and outreach throughout the SF Bay Trail RAAPP process was focused on ensuring that the Park District and its partners were able to open a dialogue around the future impacts of sea level rise across East Bay communities. The complex landscape surrounding the Bay Trail along the East Bay shoreline requires a holistic approach to community resilience.
The Park District hosted an informational webinar where the project team presented the latest research and ideas related to the Park District’s role in shoreline adaptation and the next steps related to regional partnership coordination.
Community and Stakeholder Engagement Webinar - October 7, 2020
Prototype Sites
Two Bay Trail sites were selected after the risk assessment to demonstrate the potential pathways for shoreline adaptation in more detail. They include Alameda Point and McLaughlin Eastshore State Park.
ALAMEDA POINT
Key design considerations include:
- Views across the Bay
- High wave action
- Seasonal access to the Bay trail
- Contamination Sites
- Low elevations and inundation that pose a risk to existing structures, but can be planned as a benefit for marsh and habitat creation
McLAUGHLIN EASTSHORE STATE PARK
Key design considerations include:
- Nature-based shoreline stabilization opportunities
- Integration with Berkeley Meadow restoration
- Opportunities for green infrastructure
- Key coordination to provide resilient access and habitat areas through end-of-century
Additional Resources
The Park District used a diverse set of tools and regional resources, including Adapting to Rising Tides: Bay Shoreline Flood Explorer , Safeguarding California 2018 Update , State of California Sea-Level Rise Guidance 2018 Update , among others.
Check out the Park District Planning website for information on other ongoing planning efforts.
See the project description on Resilient CA .
Project Contact
Brian Holt, Chief | Planning, Trails and GIS, East Bay Regional Park District: BHolt@ebparks.org